CA-04 primary: first place
Price history — Mike Thompson
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
93¢
1¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 24.4K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Mike Thompson
at 93¢
Price gap
Kalshi93¢
→OU's fair99¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
High
Reports from June 2026 confirm Mike Thompson is leading the primary vote count and has advanced to the general election as the top finisher.
High conviction
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.