Will the 2026 California Voter ID initiative pass?
Price history — Will the 2026 California Voter ID initiative pass?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES43¢ (43%)
NO57¢ (57%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 2.8K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 43¢ · pays 2.3×
Price gap
Kalshi43¢
→OU's fair45¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 2.3×
Confidence
Moderate
California voters historically reject restrictive voting measures and organized opposition from civil rights groups often influences ballot outcomes in the state.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.