Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?
Price history — Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES32¢ (32%)
NO68¢ (68%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 390.5K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 32¢ · pays 3.1×
Price gap
Kalshi32¢
→OU's fair35¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 3.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Wealth tax initiatives in California face significant legal hurdles and historical opposition despite strong support from labor unions and progressive advocacy groups.
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.