Closest Senate race in 2026?
Price history — Texas
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
17¢
12¢
11¢
9¢
8¢
8¢
7¢
6¢
5¢
4¢
4¢
2¢
2¢
1¢
1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 123.7K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-01-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Texas
at 17¢
Price gap
Kalshi17¢
→OU's fair16¢
−1¢ overpriced · pays 5.9×
Confidence
Low
Texas is expected to be highly competitive in 2026 with James Talarico and Ken Paxton both raising significant funds for a high-profile race.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.