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Colombian presidential election first round winner?

Price history — Abelardo de la Espriella

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

24¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Iván Cepeda Castro77¢
Abelardo de la Espriella★ BEST24¢
Paloma Valencia0¢
Sergio Fajardo0¢
Daniel Quintero0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 341.7K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2027-05-31
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Abelardo de la Espriella
at 24¢
Price gap
Kalshi24¢
→
OU's fair36¢
+12¢ underpriced · pays 4.2×
Confidence
Moderate

Recent polling data indicates Abelardo de la Espriella has overtaken Ivan Cepeda as the leader in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

Wide edge+12¢
High volume46k contracts
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.