OVER / UNDER
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Core inflation in May 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Price history — Above 2.1%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

98¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Above 2.1%★ BEST98¢
Above 2.5%97¢
Above 2.2%96¢
Above 2.3%95¢
Above 2.4%94¢
Above 2.6%92¢
Above 2.7%89¢
Above 2.8%61¢
Above 2.9%34¢
Above 3.0%9¢
Above 3.1%2¢
Above 3.5%0¢
Above 3.3%0¢
Above 3.2%0¢
Above 3.4%0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 70.3K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-10 (16d)
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 2.1%
at 98¢
Price gap
Kalshi98¢
→
OU's fair99¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
High

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the annual core CPI inflation rate rose to 2.8 percent in April 2026 which is well above the 2.1 percent threshold.

High conviction
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.