Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
Price history — Above 3.6%
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
84¢
80¢
78¢
74¢
74¢
61¢
54¢
35¢
28¢
14¢
10¢
8¢
8¢
5¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 70.7K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-08-12
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 3.6%
at 84¢
Price gap
Kalshi84¢
→OU's fair65¢
−19¢ overpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the twelve month inflation rate reached 3.8 percent in April 2026 and remains on an upward trajectory.
Wide edge+19¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.