Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2026?
Price history — Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2026?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES36¢ (36%)
NO64¢ (64%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 61.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 64¢ · pays 1.6×
Price gap
Kalshi64¢
→OU's fair82¢
+18¢ underpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Low
Major rating agencies maintain stable outlooks despite fiscal concerns and no recent reports indicate an imminent downgrade for the current year.
Wide edge+18¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.