How much will US democracy weaken under Trump?
Price history — below 7.60
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
52¢
44¢
40¢
19¢
Kalshi • Volume: 40.5K contracts • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2029-05-17
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · below 7.60
at 40¢
Price gap
Kalshi40¢
→OU's fair60¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 2.5×
Confidence
Moderate
Multiple independent 2025 evaluations from organizations like The Century Foundation report that American democracy is already experiencing significant decline and erosion.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.