Will at least 5 of the following 6 Democratic candidates win their 2026 Senate primaries: James Talarico in Texas, Raja Krishnamoorthi in Illinois, Josh Turek in Iowa, Graham Platner in Maine, Mallory McMorrow in Michigan, and Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES13¢ (13%)
NO87¢ (87%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 125.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES at 13¢ · pays 7.7×
Price gap
Kalshi13¢
→OU's fair45¢
+32¢ underpriced · pays 7.7×
Confidence
Low
The search context lacks specific primary dates or polling for these candidates to confirm if five of the six have successfully secured their party nominations by June 2026.
Wide edge+32¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.