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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Price history — 230-233

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
market YES fair range
Market price
Below 21012¢
222-22510¢
Above 24910¢
226-2299¢
230-233★ BEST8¢
214-2178¢
218-2218¢
238-2416¢
234-2376¢
246-2495¢
242-2455¢
210-2135¢
Kalshi • Volume: 515.5K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-02-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · 230-233
at 8¢
Price gap
Kalshi
OU's fair10¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 12×
Confidence
Low

Polling data projections suggest a central outcome of 233 to 237 seats for Democrats following the 2026 midterm elections.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.