Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
Price history — Before September 1, 2026
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
56¢
48¢
27¢
6¢
Kalshi • Volume: 360.2K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-09-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Before September 1, 2026
at 56¢
Price gap
Kalshi56¢
→OU's fair38¢
−18¢ overpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate
Miguel Diaz-Canel explicitly stated in April 2026 that he would not step down and there is no evidence of internal dissent challenging his leadership.
Wide edge+18¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.