Which states will experience exceptional drought? (6/4 - 7/30)
Price history — North Carolina
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
73¢
36¢
34¢
34¢
26¢
24¢
23¢
20¢
19¢
9¢
8¢
8¢
4¢
1¢
1¢
Kalshi • Volume: 18.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-07-31
Kalshi · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · North Carolina
at 73¢
Price gap
Kalshi73¢
→OU's fair53¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Moderate
North Carolina is currently experiencing record dry conditions with D4 drought already introduced in western regions as of late April.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.