OVER / UNDER
KXEARTHQUAKE-26MAY ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXEARTHQUAKE-26MAY ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXEARTHQUAKE-26MAY ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXEARTHQUAKE-26MAY ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXEARTHQUAKE-26MAY ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXEARTHQUAKE-26MAY ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

How strong of an earthquake will occur before Jun 1, 2026?

Price history — At least 6.8

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

31¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
At least 6.8★ BEST31¢
At least 6.923¢
At least 7.020¢
At least 7.117¢
At least 7.211¢
At least 7.39¢
At least 7.44¢
At least 7.51¢
Kalshi • Volume: 18.2K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-01 (7d)
Kalshi · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
YES · At least 6.8
at 31¢
Price gap
Kalshi31¢
→
OU's fair51¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 3.2×
Confidence
Moderate

The USGS catalog reports a massive magnitude 8.8 earthquake occurred in July 2025 which satisfies all magnitude thresholds for this contract series.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.