Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?
Price history — Before 2034
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
19¢
16¢
11¢
9¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2034-01-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Before 2034
at 19¢
Price gap
Kalshi19¢
→OU's fair35¢
+16¢ underpriced · pays 5.3×
Confidence
Moderate
The compact currently holds 209 electoral votes and requires several large states like Pennsylvania or Virginia to join to reach the 270 vote threshold.
Wide edge+16¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.