Unemployment rate in Aug 2026? Odds & Analysis

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Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?

Price history — Exactly 4.4%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

Exactly 4.9%0¢

Exactly 4.3%0¢

Exactly 4.2%0¢

Exactly 5.0%0¢

Exactly 3.3%0¢

Exactly 3.9%0¢

Exactly 5.5%0¢

Exactly 3.4%0¢

Exactly 3.5%0¢

Exactly 3.8%0¢

Exactly 4.0%0¢

Exactly 4.1%0¢

Exactly 4.5%0¢

Exactly 4.6%0¢

Exactly 5.1%0¢

Exactly 5.2%0¢

Exactly 5.4%0¢

Exactly 3.6%0¢

Exactly 4.8%0¢

Exactly 5.3%0¢

Exactly 4.7%0¢

Exactly 3.7%0¢

Exactly 4.4%★ BEST0¢

Kalshi • Volume: 1.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-09-04

Kalshi · Economics

OU's Pick

YES · Exactly 4.4%

at 0¢

Price gap

Kalshi0¢

→

OU's fair20¢

+20¢ underpriced

Confidence

Moderate

The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3 percent in April 2026 according to Trading Economics and the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Wide edge+20¢

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.