Unemployment rate in Jul 2026?
Price history — Exactly 4.3%
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
14¢
9¢
7¢
7¢
5¢
4¢
2¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.9K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-08-07
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Exactly 4.3%
at 9¢
Price gap
Kalshi9¢
→OU's fair28¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 11×
Confidence
Moderate
The national unemployment rate held steady at 4.3 percent in April 2026 according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics and multiple news reports.
Wide edge+19¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.