Unemployment rate in May 2026?
Price history — Exactly 4.3%
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
35¢
27¢
23¢
9¢
4¢
1¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 32.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-05 (2d)
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Exactly 4.3%
at 35¢
Price gap
Kalshi35¢
→OU's fair65¢
+30¢ underpriced · pays 2.9×
Confidence
High
The unemployment rate has remained steady at 4.3 percent for several months and recent mid-May reports confirm it is currently holding at that exact level.
Wide edge+30¢
High conviction
Closes in1d 21h
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.