When will a supervolcano next erupt?
Price history — When will a supervolcano next erupt?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES26¢ (26%)
NO74¢ (74%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 30.7K contracts • Updated 30m agoCloses: 2050-01-01
Kalshi · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
NO at 74¢ · pays 1.4×
Price gap
Kalshi74¢
→OU's fair99¢
+25¢ underpriced · pays 1.4×
Confidence
Low
Scientific consensus from the USGS indicates that the recurrence interval for supervolcanic eruptions is measured in hundreds of thousands of years.
Wide edge+25¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.