When will a supervolcano next erupt?
Price history — When will a supervolcano next erupt?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES21¢ (21%)
NO79¢ (79%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 30.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2050-01-01
Kalshi · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
NO at 79¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Kalshi79¢
→OU's fair99¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Geological data from the USGS indicates that the annual probability of a supervolcano eruption is extremely low with no current signs of activity at major sites like Yellowstone.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.