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Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?

Price history — Above 2.75%

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

98¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
market YES fair range
Market price
Above 2.75%★ BEST98¢
Above 3.00%96¢
Above 3.25%95¢
Above 3.50%91¢
Above 3.75%5¢
Above 4.00%2¢
Above 4.25%1¢
Above 4.50%1¢
Above 5.00%0¢
Above 4.75%0¢
Above 5.25%0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 53.5K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-07-29
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 2.75%
at 98¢
Price gap
Kalshi98¢
OU's fair98¢
Confidence
High

The current federal funds target upper bound is 3.75 percent as of May 22 2026 and recent FOMC statements indicate a focus on taming inflation rather than aggressive cuts.

High conviction
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.