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Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Price history — Fed maintains rate

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

88¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Fed maintains rate★ BEST88¢
Hike 25bps6¢
Cut 25bps3¢
Cut >25bps1¢
Hike >25bps0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 274.1K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-07-29
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Fed maintains rate
at 88¢
Price gap
Kalshi88¢
→
OU's fair68¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

J.P. Morgan Global Research and recent FOMC communications indicate a preference for holding rates steady through the remainder of 2026.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.