Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?
Price history — Reserve President Rejected
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
55¢
12¢
2¢
2¢
2¢
2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 18.3K contracts • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Reserve President Rejected
at 12¢
Price gap
Kalshi12¢
→OU's fair5¢
−7¢ overpriced · pays 8.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Federal Reserve Bank presidents are rarely rejected for reappointment but this remains a more plausible administrative event than the unprecedented removal of a sitting president.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.