Will a pre-midterm GOP convention happen by Nov 3, 2026
Price history — Will a pre-midterm GOP convention happen by Nov 3, 2026
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES86¢ (86%)
NO14¢ (14%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 4.2K contracts • Updated 40m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 86¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Kalshi86¢
→OU's fair92¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
High
The Republican National Committee has already voted to hold a midterm political convention and Trump has publicly confirmed plans for the event before the November elections.
High conviction
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.