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Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Before Jan 1, 2028★ BEST41¢
Before Aug 1, 202739¢
Before Apr 1, 202737¢
Before Nov 3, 202612¢
Before Aug 1, 20260¢
Before Jun 1, 20260¢
Before Jul 1, 20260¢
Kalshi • Volume: 93.1K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2028-01-01
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Before Jan 1, 2028
at 41¢
Price gap
Kalshi41¢
→
OU's fair21¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 2.4×
Confidence
Moderate

Fetterman explicitly stated in a Washington Post opinion piece that he has no plans to leave the Democratic party despite policy disagreements.

Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.