Which state will be scheduled first in the 2028 Democratic primary?
Price history — South Carolina
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
43¢
28¢
15¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 18.7K contracts • Updated 29m agoCloses: 2028-11-07
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · South Carolina
at 28¢
Price gap
Kalshi28¢
→OU's fair48¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 3.6×
Confidence
Moderate
The Democratic National Committee officially designated South Carolina as the first state in the primary calendar during the 2024 cycle to prioritize diverse voter representation.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.