Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029?
Price history — Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029?
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES42¢ (42%)
NO58¢ (58%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 23.7K contracts • Updated 29m agoCloses: 2029-01-20
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 42¢ · pays 2.4×
Price gap
Kalshi42¢
→OU's fair65¢
+23¢ underpriced · pays 2.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Trump announced a fundamental restructuring of trade policy on April 2 2025 and directed the USTR to identify countries for bilateral negotiations.
Wide edge+23¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.