Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029?
Price history — Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES36¢ (36%)
NO64¢ (64%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 61.9K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2029-01-20
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 64¢ · pays 1.6×
Price gap
Kalshi64¢
→OU's fair65¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate
The 2020 Phase One deal remains the primary framework while current relations focus on tariff restoration rather than comprehensive new trade agreements.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.