Which G7 leader will leave next?
Price history — Friedrich Merz
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
78¢
12¢
3¢
2¢
2¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 67.4K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2045-01-01
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Friedrich Merz
at 2¢
Price gap
Kalshi2¢
→OU's fair22¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 48×
Confidence
Moderate
Friedrich Merz leads a fragile coalition government in Germany while other G7 leaders like Mark Carney and Donald Trump have only recently taken office.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.