Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
Price history — Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES11¢ (11%)
NO89¢ (89%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 20.5K contracts • Updated 31m agoCloses: 2029-06-30
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES at 11¢ · pays 9.0×
Price gap
Kalshi11¢
→OU's fair45¢
+34¢ underpriced · pays 9.0×
Confidence
Low
Historical data shows that while manufacturing investment increased during the first Trump term the total number of factory jobs did not see a significant structural boom.
Wide edge+34¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.