OVER / UNDER
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How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?

Price history — At least 250 billion

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

8¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
At least 250 billion★ BEST8¢
At least 2 trillion5¢
At least 1 trillion4¢
At least 500 billion4¢
At least 750 billion4¢
Kalshi • Volume: 75.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2029-03-31
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · At least 250 billion
at 8¢
Price gap
Kalshi8¢
→
OU's fair8¢
Confidence
Low

The 2026 deficit is already tracking lower than the previous year and current legislative projections suggest significant fiscal adjustments are expected before the 2028 deadline.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.