OVER / UNDER
KXGOVTSPEND-27 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXGOVTSPEND-27 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXGOVTSPEND-27 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXGOVTSPEND-27 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXGOVTSPEND-27 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXGOVTSPEND-27 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

Government spending increase in 2026

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
At least $1 billion★ BEST95¢
At least $50 billion94¢
At least $100 billion91¢
At least $200 billion85¢
At least $300 billion76¢
At least $400 billion63¢
At least $500 billion50¢
At least $750 billion21¢
At least $1 trillion8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 5.5K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-04-01
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · At least $1 billion
at 95¢
Price gap
Kalshi95¢
→
OU's fair99¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

The 2027 budget proposal and CBO outlook confirm that federal spending and deficits are projected to remain at levels far exceeding the one billion dollar threshold.

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.