Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Price history — Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES34¢ (34%)
NO66¢ (66%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 8.3K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
NO at 66¢ · pays 1.5×
Price gap
Kalshi66¢
→OU's fair74¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 1.5×
Confidence
Moderate
A climate scientist calculated the probability of 2026 being the hottest year on record at approximately one in four as of late April.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.