Who will win the next Guatemalan Congressional election?
Price history — Movimiento Semilla
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
36¢
30¢
21¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 9.4K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2028-08-30
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Movimiento Semilla
at 21¢
Price gap
Kalshi21¢
→OU's fair13¢
−8¢ overpriced · pays 4.8×
Confidence
Low
Movimiento Semilla gained significant momentum following the 2023 presidential victory of Bernardo Arevalo despite facing legal challenges from established political parties.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.