Will Nvidia H200 chips being delivered to mainland China be confirmed?
Price history — Will Nvidia H200 chips being delivered to mainland China be confirmed?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES64¢ (64%)
NO36¢ (36%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 8.2K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
NO at 36¢ · pays 2.8×
Price gap
Kalshi36¢
→OU's fair55¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 2.8×
Confidence
Moderate
The US government has reportedly cleared several Chinese firms to purchase H200 chips but no actual deliveries have been confirmed as of June 2026.
Wide edge+19¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.