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How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Price history — Above 0

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

47¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
market YES fair range
Market price
Above 0★ BEST47¢
Above 139¢
Above 236¢
Above 329¢
Above 523¢
Above 716¢
Above 1010¢
Above 158¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.8K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2027-01-01
Kalshi · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
YES · Above 0
at 47¢
Price gap
Kalshi47¢
OU's fair95¢
+48¢ underpriced · pays 2.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Reports confirm at least ten human H5N1 cases occurred between late 2025 and February 2026 which satisfies the threshold for the current year.

Wide edge+48¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.