Will May 2026 be the hottest May ever?
Price history — Will May 2026 be the hottest May ever?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES3¢ (3%)
NO97¢ (97%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Kalshi • Volume: 12.1K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-16 (22d)
Kalshi · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES at 3¢ · pays 33×
Price gap
Kalshi3¢
→OU's fair35¢
+32¢ underpriced · pays 33×
Confidence
Low
Climate models suggest a significant chance for record heat in 2026 but specific monthly records are highly variable and depend on short-term weather patterns.
Wide edge+32¢
Off market consensus
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.