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May 2026 temperature increase?

Price history — 1.02999 or below

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

3¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Tue 5/19Wed 5/20Thu 5/21Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
1.10 to 1.1638¢
1.03 to 1.0920¢
1.17 to 1.2313¢
1.24 to 1.305¢
1.02999 or below★ BEST3¢
1.30001 or above2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 8.4K contracts • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-16 (22d)
Kalshi · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 1.02999 or below
at 3¢
Price gap
Kalshi3¢
→
OU's fair24¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 33×
Confidence
Moderate

Climate monitoring groups predict 2026 will be the second warmest year on record with global average temperatures potentially reaching up to 1.58C above baseline.

Wide edge+21¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.