Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
99¢
97¢
93¢
81¢
76¢
63¢
26¢
9¢
2¢
2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 132.5K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-05-26 (1d)
Kalshi · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 5
at 99¢
Price gap
Kalshi99¢
→OU's fair79¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
Moderate
Search context indicates the Strait of Hormuz has been largely blocked by Iran since February 2026 which would result in near zero transit calls for the specified week.
Wide edge+20¢
High volume16k contracts
Closes in1d 4h
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.