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AZ-04 House winner?

Price history — Democratic party

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

88¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/29Sat 5/30Sun 5/31Mon 6/1Tue 6/2Wed 6/3TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Democratic party★ BEST88¢
Republican party8¢
Kalshi • Volume: 4.5K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic party
at 88¢
Price gap
Kalshi88¢
→
OU's fair92¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
High

Arizona's 4th District is a heavily Democratic-leaning seat that Greg Stanton won by double digits in 2022 and 2024.

High conviction
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.