CA-04 House winner?
Price history — Republican party
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
95¢
2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 608 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republican party
at 2¢
Price gap
Kalshi2¢
→OU's fair20¢
+18¢ underpriced · pays 50×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock has historically won this district by double digits and the 2026 midterm environment is expected to favor the opposition party.
Wide edge+18¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.