FL-14 House winner?
Price history — Democratic party
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
50¢
46¢
Kalshi • Volume: 17.7K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic party
at 46¢
Price gap
Kalshi46¢
→OU's fair66¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 2.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Kathy Castor holds a safe Democratic seat in a district that historically favors her party by significant margins.
Wide edge+20¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.