FL-16 House winner?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
76¢
21¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.1K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republican party
at 76¢
Price gap
Kalshi76¢
→OU's fair78¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
The retirement of long-term incumbent Vern Buchanan creates an open seat in a district that has historically favored Republican candidates despite new Democratic challengers.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.