MS-03 House winner?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
94¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 2.4K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Michael Guest
at 94¢
Price gap
Kalshi94¢
→OU's fair95¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Republican Michael Guest represents a deeply conservative district where he previously ran unopposed and faces only a single Democratic challenger in 2026.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.