NJ-04 House winner?
Price history — Republican party
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
90¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 1.1K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Republican party
at 90¢
Price gap
Kalshi90¢
→OU's fair92¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
New Jersey's 4th District is a historically safe Republican seat held by Chris Smith since 1981 and remains one of the most reliably red districts in the state.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.