NY-20 House winner?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
95¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 987 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03
Kalshi · Elections
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic party
at 95¢
Price gap
Kalshi95¢
→OU's fair70¢
−25¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Low
Incumbent Paul Tonko has held this safe Democratic seat since 2009 and won the 2024 election by a significant margin.
Wide edge+25¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.