2026 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? Odds & Analysis

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2026 2026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout?

Price history — 110 to 114.99 million

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

━ market YES▬ fair range

Market price

125 million and above26¢

115 to 119.99 million21¢

120 to 124.99 million20¢

110 to 114.99 million★ BEST13¢

105 to 109.99 million7¢

100 to 104.99 million3¢

Less than 90 million2¢

90 to 94.99 million1¢

95 to 99.99 million1¢

Kalshi • Volume: 66.2K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2027-11-03

Kalshi · Elections

OU's Pick

YES · 110 to 114.99 million

at 13¢

Price gap

Kalshi13¢

→

OU's fair33¢

+20¢ underpriced · pays 7.7×

Confidence

Moderate

Historical midterm turnout data shows a significant increase in recent cycles with 2018 and 2022 both exceeding 100 million total votes cast.

Wide edge+20¢

View on Kalshi↗

Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.