OVER / UNDER
KXHOUSINGSTART-26JUN16 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXHOUSINGSTART-26JUN16 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXHOUSINGSTART-26JUN16 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXHOUSINGSTART-26JUN16 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXHOUSINGSTART-26JUN16 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★ KXHOUSINGSTART-26JUN16 ★ KALSHI ★ MULTI ★

US housing starts for May

Price history — Above 1.375M

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

52¢0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Fri 5/22Sat 5/23Sun 5/24TODAY
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
Above 1.375M★ BEST52¢
Above 1.400M51¢
Above 1.425M28¢
Above 1.475M5¢
Above 1.450M3¢
Above 1.550M2¢
Above 1.525M2¢
Above 1.500M2¢
Kalshi • Volume: 20.7K contracts • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-16 (22d)
Kalshi · Economics
OU's Pick
YES · Above 1.375M
at 52¢
Price gap
Kalshi52¢
→
OU's fair79¢
+27¢ underpriced · pays 1.9×
Confidence
Moderate

Recent FRED data shows April housing starts at 1.465M and February at 1.356M which supports a baseline near the 1.375M threshold despite rising mortgage rates.

Wide edge+27¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.