How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
Price history — Above 4
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
80¢
60¢
54¢
31¢
13¢
11¢
9¢
1¢
0¢
Kalshi • Volume: 12.4K contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-12-02
Kalshi · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · Above 4
at 80¢
Price gap
Kalshi80¢
→OU's fair95¢
+15¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Multiple meteorological forecasts for the 2026 season predict between five and fourteen hurricanes which makes the threshold of four highly likely to be exceeded.
Wide edge+15¢
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.