How many major Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?
Price history — Above 4
Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
73¢
54¢
37¢
28¢
16¢
7¢
Kalshi • Volume: 980.3 contracts • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-12-01
Kalshi · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · Above 4
at 54¢
Price gap
Kalshi54¢
→OU's fair55¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.9×
Confidence
Low
Early season reports indicate at least one major hurricane has already formed while seasonal forecasts suggest a total of one to three major hurricanes for the region.
Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.